Al-Qamar Al-Mounir

Insights & Briefings

What we are reading, writing and thinking.

A curated archive of partner essays, quarterly market briefings and sector notes — written in Kabul, for those who take the long view.

Q4
Quarterly Briefing·Q4 2025

The Afghan trade corridor: a quiet recalibration

After two years of dislocation, the Hairatan and Torkham corridors are recovering volume on the back of regional fertiliser, cement and consumer flows. We assess what is structural, what is cyclical, and where the asymmetry now sits for capital deployed before mid-2026.

12 min read

The Archive

Recent writing.

Sector Note·Nov 2025

Saffron 2026: pricing, provenance and the European premium

Why Afghan saffron continues to outperform Iranian comparables on quality — and where the export premium is being captured today.

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Partner Essay·Oct 2025

Locality as alpha: a case for partner-led frontier investing

A long-form argument for why presence still beats research in markets where information is relational, not informational.

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Quarterly Briefing·Q3 2025

Construction inputs: the post-tariff Türkiye trade

Cement, steel rebar and finishings — how the supply landscape has shifted and what that means for project budgets in 2026.

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Sector Note·Aug 2025

Cold-chain logistics: a quietly bankable Afghan thesis

The case for refrigerated warehousing as a discrete infrastructure investment, with anchor demand from agro-processors.

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Market Memo·Jul 2025

Trade finance in volatile FX environments

Practical structures for short-duration trade finance when the working currency is not your reporting currency.

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Partner Essay·Jun 2025

What the moon teaches the merchant

A reflection on patience, cycles and why the firm carries the name it does.

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The Quarterly

A briefing, four times a year.

Our quarterly briefing is sent — by request only — to a small circle of clients, partners and friends of the house. To be considered, please write to us.

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